This is my first post for my weekly picks but I’ve been picking games for a long time. I’m currently 79-23 with my picks on the EA Forum “NFL Talk”. Here are a few of my picks with a breakdown of each game:
Tampa Bay over New York Jets
Now I know that the Buccaneers are only 1-11 but I have a feeling Tampa Bay can pull off an upset. I’m not going crazy I just can see a good game with the Bucs coming up on top against the Jets. New York will be starting Kellen Clemens, an unproven quarterback. The main battle will be the Jets offence against the Bucs defence and more importantly, New York’s 1st ranked rushing offence versus the Buccaneers 31st ranked rush defence. If the Buccaneers can shut down or at least slow down the massive Jets run game, they’ll be at an advantage. They’ll also need Josh Freeman to play well and lead this team but facing the #1 pass defence will be hard. This could be a one point game.
Denver over Indianapolis
Another gut feeling, but I believe a little more reasonable than picking Tampa Bay over the Jets. Denver has been surging again and their offence is lighting it up. The Colts defence has been pretty good but I think this week they’ll have some trouble. Can anyone in that Colts secondary stop Brandon Marshall? Of course not and the Broncos should recognize that. I also think the Broncos run game can get going against an average run defence. Another key factor is that Denver has the 2nd best pass defence. I can see the Broncos taking an early lead and holding the lead for the rest of the game.
Minnesota over Cincinnati
This is the first time I’m picking against my Bengals but I just don’t think that they can win. Vikings are at home, got a great run defence and are probably more of a complete team. All of these factors are why I believe that the Bengals are going 9-4. I do however think that Cincinnati pass attack will have a great day. I just don’t see it going well against that dominate Vikings run defence and the Bengals have seemed to rely more on the run. Expect a good game with the Vikings winning by a TD.
Dallas over San Diego
I can already see xXTheEddYXx shaking his head in disgust. I can see the Cowboys winning this game for two reasons: 1. they’re at home and 2. because all streaks end! I think the Cowboys do well in this game. Tony Romo did throw the ball 55 times but he also completed 41 of them. As long as they have further success with the pass and run the ball more often, I think they can win. The Chargers are streaking right now but it’s really hard to keep a 7 game win streak going. This should be an exciting game to watch and should be close.
New York Giants over Philadelphia
The Giants had a good game against the Cowboys last weekend and now they’re facing another divisional foe in the Eagles. The only reason I’m choosing the Giants is because they’re at home. Otherwise, this game is a tossup. Both teams need a win and both teams can win. An exciting game for Sunday Night Football on NBC
Here are the rest of my picks:
Pittsburgh over Cleveland
New Orleans over Atlanta
Green Bay over Chicago
Jacksonville over Miami
Baltimore over Detroit
Houston over Seattle
Buffalo over Kansas City
New England over Carolina
Oakland over Washington
Tennessee over St. Louis
Arizona over San Francisco
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